Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 172.826492 198.942533 228.447858 264.404698 307.245803 356.907831 419.200494
2025-10-05 143.278158 178.412763 222.017149 280.745038 358.744510 460.163017 604.300717
2025-10-12 125.825881 165.466977 218.025818 294.119327 403.674885 559.206790 803.244612
2025-10-19 109.292429 149.764445 206.196694 292.618841 425.273397 627.530636 972.225988
2025-10-26 99.597241 141.494224 202.572879 300.953156 461.070728 722.010589 1203.284553
2025-11-02 90.898558 133.181977 197.232904 305.051812 489.893985 809.816375 1444.624001
2025-11-09 83.976828 126.497144 193.178378 310.050637 520.327058 905.567970 1725.875831
2025-11-16 77.124968 119.004668 186.699801 309.659193 540.661265 986.331702 1999.535151
2025-11-23 71.158364 112.215760 180.435717 308.482183 558.917521 1066.253316 2294.677516
2025-11-30 66.723673 107.456042 176.967994 311.698947 585.917789 1169.343023 2676.108428
2025-12-07 60.570801 99.134474 166.316292 299.828750 580.216569 1200.514853 2888.450695
2025-12-14 56.296379 93.683208 160.218150 295.936228 590.502795 1269.795466 3225.678415
2025-12-21 52.620881 89.339104 156.392641 297.591901 616.772773 1392.058099 3790.967088
2025-12-28 51.289447 89.178095 160.537193 316.693777 687.694311 1648.987241 4909.283394
2026-01-04 49.605369 88.144023 162.810488 332.136044 753.688155 1915.628055 6228.396297
2026-01-11 46.358092 83.752411 157.792962 330.404253 776.194135 2066.982314 7223.946219
2026-01-18 44.493519 81.874036 157.696860 340.028643 830.928538 2335.267989 8890.074089
2026-01-25 42.369112 79.252197 155.702238 344.764332 873.509715 2581.377816 10663.115523
2026-02-01 40.514121 76.996004 154.225252 350.542390 920.700300 2862.645889 12869.496006
2026-02-08 38.356280 73.902348 150.538708 350.089837 949.278097 3089.350580 15013.299879
2026-02-15 36.325494 70.896748 146.725753 348.729172 974.939502 3316.943106 17417.564711
2026-02-22 34.797824 68.842715 144.888678 352.448191 1018.317187 3636.754128 20824.988162
2026-03-01 32.311515 64.480252 137.178368 338.729775 999.885376 3686.960761 22379.438660